Lock: Green Bay (-3) over Detroit: The Lions defense was pathetic against the Falcons last week, allowing the Falcons’ running backs to run all over the field. Aaron Rodgers had a stellar performance last week against Minnesota.

Pittsburgh (-6) over Cleveland: Ben Roethlisberger’s shoulder has limited his practice time this week, but the No. 1 ranked QB is expected to be ready to go against the Browns. Look for some help from running back Willie Parker.

Miami (+6.5) over Arizona: I thought I lost my lock last week when Chad Pennington nearly scared me to death. He threw for 251 yards against the Jets, proving he still has what it takes. Miami’s young offensive line, led by ‘08 first overall pick Jake Long, should be improving by this week.

Indianapolis (NL) over Minnesota: Between Peyton Manning’s passing-completion percentage and Minnesota’s ability to rush the ball, this matchup is a tough one to call.