Lock: Seattle (-7 1/2) over Oakland

It’s the Raiders. They have their two wins of the season and they’re playing the reigning NFC champs. That’s really all I have to say.

Upset: Denver (+2 1/2) over Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh simply shouldn’t be a favorite here. The Broncos are a top-flight team, and going into the season the Steelers were, too. But Pittsburgh’s loss to Oakland last week and the Broncos’ good fight against the Colts have to make Denver the favorite.

Game 1: Baltimore (-3) over Cincinatti

For the first time all season last week, I picked Baltimore, my predicted Super Bowl champs, to lose. What happens? They win. Stupid me. At least I’m still in the lead.

Game 2: Indianapolis (+3) over New England

Because the Colts are the best team in football. These New England Patriots, even with Tom Brady, are not the same that won two of three Super Bowls earlier this century. Adam Vinatieri, anyone? And the Colts are underdogs, again! Astonishing.